Sunday, September 17, 2017

Irma - not as good but still a go for now

Jose continues to meander around, US model. I've lost faith in the Euro model after
big misses on Irma
Irma drifted a little westward today but the forecast is still a go for us down the coast on 9/21 to Atlantic City. If the forecast holds, we'll leave PYC 9/19 to stage us for the jump down the coast on 9/21 from Atlantic Highlands. Nothing is certain here but so far, so good (or rather, good enough). As long as the winds are behind us and the swells have 10 sec periods or so, I'm fine for the trip.
Maria will be a problem. We'll watch.
Still good for Thursday. Wind on the left, wave heights on the right
Near-in coastal forecast from SwellInfo still is good for Thursday
Finally, the NOAA coastal forecast is in line with the others although it covers farther out, to 20 Nm.
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
631 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017
.THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or
less. 
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
631 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017
.THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around
3 ft. 

2 comments:

Shay & Elizabeth said...

Bob, thank you for so much information. What app or web site do you use to get the pictures you show side by side showing near shore wind and wave height?

Thank you
Shay Glass

Bob423 said...

Shay, I use https://www.ventusky.com/?p=39.76;-74.06;7&l=wind. However, I have to take two screenshots, one for wind and one for waves and then combine the images using a photo program into one image for posting. The Ventusky site uses the US model. Windy does much the same thing except they do not have the option of overlaying a grid of numbers (wind speed or wave heights). I prefer the number overlay, it's easier to see the entire coast at a glance.